Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...? spans 12 possible outcomes with $11.3M in combined trading volume. The current favourite is “US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027?” at 60%. No large whale moves have been detected in the last 24 hours.
Each outcome above is its own market with its own YES price, and each price is the crowd’s estimated probability of that outcome. Because only one can happen, the percentages across all 12 outcomes add up to roughly 100%. Volume is the sum across every outcome, so it can exceed the money actually at risk — buying NO on one outcome is economically close to buying YES across the others.
Market data from Polymarket’s public API, last synced . PolyPeek is an independent analytics project, not affiliated with Polymarket. Nothing on this page is financial advice.
