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Resolved

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

🏁
This market has resolved
Trading has ended (April 30, 2026). The figures below reflect the final recorded state.
Current Odds 2.5% 24h
16%YES
·
84%NO
Total Volume
$852k
24h Volume
$14k
Liquidity
$133k
7d Change
+6.5%
Market ends: April 30, 2026
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Market Overview

The market sees this as unlikely — YES trades at only 16%, down 2.5% over the last 24 hours. Total trading volume stands at $852k, backed by $133k in current liquidity. No large whale trades have been detected on this market recently. Over the past week the price has climbed 6.5% and the market resolves on April 30, 2026.

Price History16% YES
0255075100Jun 15Jun 25Jul 5Jul 15
Yes No· final

🐳 Whale Activity large moves on this market

no whale trades detected yet

Top Holders largest positions on this market

$25.3k30.0k sh
$24.6k29.1k sh
$23.0k27.2k sh
$22.9k27.1k sh
$19.8k23.4k sh
$18.8k22.2k sh
$18.7k22.2k sh
$17.3k20.5k sh
$13.6k16.1k sh
10novv25Yes
$11.3k73.0k sh
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Understanding the odds

Prediction market prices reflect the crowd’s estimated probability of an outcome. A YES price of 16% means traders collectively assign roughly that chance to the event happening. Whale alerts flag unusually large volume moves — a signal worth investigating, not a guarantee of insider knowledge.

Data refreshes every 30 minutes from Polymarket’s public API. PolyPeek is an independent analytics project, not affiliated with Polymarket. Nothing on this page is financial advice.