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Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

Current Odds 1.5% 24h
29%YES
·
71%NO
Total Volume
$3.6M
24h Volume
$1k
Liquidity
$396k
7d Change
-3.5%
Market ends: November 3, 2026
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Market Overview

Traders are skeptical, pricing YES at just 29%, up 1.5% over the last 24 hours. Total trading volume stands at $3.6M, backed by $396k in current liquidity. No large whale trades have been detected on this market recently. Over the past week the price has fallen 3.5% and the market resolves on November 3, 2026.

Price History30% YES
0255075100Jun 15Jun 25Jul 5Jul 15
Yes No

🐳 Whale Activity large moves on this market

no whale trades detected yet

Top Holders largest positions on this market

$167.7k236.2k sh
$108.5k374.1k sh
$106.0k365.6k sh
$78.0k109.8k sh
$41.4k58.2k sh
$30.6k43.1k sh
$29.5k101.9k sh
$27.8k39.1k sh
$18.7k26.3k sh
$17.4k24.5k sh
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Understanding the odds

Prediction market prices reflect the crowd’s estimated probability of an outcome. A YES price of 29% means traders collectively assign roughly that chance to the event happening. Whale alerts flag unusually large volume moves — a signal worth investigating, not a guarantee of insider knowledge.

Data refreshes every 30 minutes from Polymarket’s public API. PolyPeek is an independent analytics project, not affiliated with Polymarket. Nothing on this page is financial advice.