Live

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

Current Odds▲ 0.2% 24h

6%YES

94%NO

Total Volume

$2.9M

24h Volume

$2k

Liquidity

$55k

7d Change

+1.3%

Market ends: December 31, 2026

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Market Overview

Traders treat this as a longshot, with YES priced at 6%. Total trading volume stands at $2.9M, backed by $55k in current liquidity. Recent whale activity includes a $45k trade — sold No. The market resolves on December 31, 2026.

Price History7% YES

Yes No

🐳 Whale Activity large moves on this market

↓D426No

$45k9d ago

↑D426No

$36k9d ago

Top Holders largest positions on this market

1Spanish-PriorityNo

$100.2k106.5k sh

2-0-No

$50.4k53.6k sh

3smallpigNo

$27.7k29.4k sh

4po18503No

$24.7k26.3k sh

5Rough-PassiveNo

$19.5k20.8k sh

6xinerxinerxinerNo

$18.2k19.3k sh

7LBZoneNo

$18.2k19.3k sh

8Agonizing-UtilisationNo

$14.1k15.0k sh

9GloriasissiNo

$12.8k13.6k sh

10MEPPNo

$10.6k11.2k sh

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Understanding the odds

Prediction market prices reflect the crowd’s estimated probability of an outcome. A YES price of 6% means traders collectively assign roughly that chance to the event happening. Whale alerts flag unusually large volume moves — a signal worth investigating, not a guarantee of insider knowledge.

Data refreshes every 30 minutes from Polymarket’s public API. PolyPeek is an independent analytics project, not affiliated with Polymarket. Nothing on this page is financial advice.