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Fed rate hike in 2026?

Current Odds 17% 24h
53%YES
·
47%NO
Total Volume
$4.1M
24h Volume
$180k
Liquidity
$78k
7d Change
+4.0%
Market ends: December 9, 2026
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Market Overview

This market is essentially a toss-up, with YES trading at 53%, a sharp drop of 17.0% in the last 24 hours. Total trading volume stands at $4.1M, backed by $78k in current liquidity. Recent whale activity includes a $30k trade — sold No. Over the past week the price has climbed 4.0% and the market resolves on December 9, 2026.

Price History65% YES
0255075100Jun 14Jun 24Jul 4Jul 14
Yes No

🐳 Whale Activity large moves on this market

tetroseNo
$30k3d ago

Top Holders largest positions on this market

1padaYes
$157.5k300.0k sh
2dlkfYes
$109.3k208.3k sh
$70.1k147.7k sh
$53.9k102.6k sh
5pakoNo
$48.3k101.7k sh
$32.6k68.6k sh
$25.2k53.0k sh
8T31No
$24.7k51.9k sh
9pealNo
$23.7k50.0k sh
$21.4k40.8k sh
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Understanding the odds

Prediction market prices reflect the crowd’s estimated probability of an outcome. A YES price of 53% means traders collectively assign roughly that chance to the event happening. Whale alerts flag unusually large volume moves — a signal worth investigating, not a guarantee of insider knowledge.

Data refreshes every 30 minutes from Polymarket’s public API. PolyPeek is an independent analytics project, not affiliated with Polymarket. Nothing on this page is financial advice.