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Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by...?

Current Odds 0.1% 24h
2%YES
·
98%NO
Total Volume
$1.1M
24h Volume
$17k
Liquidity
$77k
7d Change
-0.8%
Market ends: July 31, 2026
Trade on Polymarket ↗

Market Overview

Traders treat this as a longshot, with YES priced at 2%. Total trading volume stands at $1.1M, backed by $77k in current liquidity. No large whale trades have been detected on this market recently. The market resolves on July 31, 2026.

Price History2% YES
0255075100Jun 15Jun 25Jul 5Jul 15
Yes No

🐳 Whale Activity large moves on this market

no whale trades detected yet

Top Holders largest positions on this market

$60.7k61.7k sh
$18.7k19.0k sh
$7.0k7.1k sh
$5.4k5.5k sh
5MEPPNo
$5.4k5.5k sh
$4.3k4.3k sh
$3.9k4.0k sh
$3.2k3.3k sh
$2.3k2.4k sh
10JjwNo
$2.3k2.4k sh
1 / 2

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Understanding the odds

Prediction market prices reflect the crowd’s estimated probability of an outcome. A YES price of 2% means traders collectively assign roughly that chance to the event happening. Whale alerts flag unusually large volume moves — a signal worth investigating, not a guarantee of insider knowledge.

Data refreshes every 30 minutes from Polymarket’s public API. PolyPeek is an independent analytics project, not affiliated with Polymarket. Nothing on this page is financial advice.