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Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

Current Odds 2.5% 24h
98%YES
·
2%NO
Total Volume
$371k
24h Volume
$177k
Liquidity
$86k
7d Change
+0.0%
Market ends: August 4, 2026
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Market Overview

Traders consider this outcome nearly certain, pricing YES at 98%, up 2.5% over the last 24 hours. This is a smaller market with $371k in total volume, backed by $86k in current liquidity. No large whale trades have been detected on this market recently. The market resolves in just 2 days on August 4, 2026.

Price History99% YES
0255075100Jul 31Aug 1Aug 2Aug 3
Yes No

🐳 Whale Activity large moves on this market

no whale trades detected yet
Whale alerts on TelegramEvery Polymarket trade above $150,000, pushed as we see it.

Top Holders largest positions on this market

1 / 2

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Understanding the odds

Prediction market prices reflect the crowd’s estimated probability of an outcome. A YES price of 98% means traders collectively assign roughly that chance to the event happening. Whale alerts flag unusually large volume moves — a signal worth investigating, not a guarantee of insider knowledge.

Market data from Polymarket’s public API, last synced . PolyPeek is an independent analytics project, not affiliated with Polymarket. Nothing on this page is financial advice.