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Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

Current Odds 0.4% 24h
1%YES
·
99%NO
Total Volume
$559k
24h Volume
$8k
Liquidity
$85k
7d Change
-0.8%
Market ends: July 31, 2026
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Market Overview

Traders treat this as a longshot, with YES priced at 1%. Total trading volume stands at $559k, backed by $85k in current liquidity. No large whale trades have been detected on this market recently. The market resolves on July 31, 2026.

Price History1% YES
0255075100Jun 15Jun 25Jul 5Jul 15
Yes No

🐳 Whale Activity large moves on this market

no whale trades detected yet

Top Holders largest positions on this market

1MEPPNo
$16.3k16.5k sh
$15.7k15.9k sh
$14.6k14.7k sh
$10.4k10.5k sh
$10.3k10.4k sh
$10.0k10.1k sh
$8.8k8.9k sh
$7.9k8.0k sh
$7.0k7.1k sh
$5.9k6.0k sh
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Understanding the odds

Prediction market prices reflect the crowd’s estimated probability of an outcome. A YES price of 1% means traders collectively assign roughly that chance to the event happening. Whale alerts flag unusually large volume moves — a signal worth investigating, not a guarantee of insider knowledge.

Data refreshes every 30 minutes from Polymarket’s public API. PolyPeek is an independent analytics project, not affiliated with Polymarket. Nothing on this page is financial advice.