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Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Current Odds 0% 24h
56%YES
·
44%NO
Total Volume
$5.1M
24h Volume
$22k
Liquidity
$288k
7d Change
-3.0%
Market ends: December 31, 2026
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Market Overview

Traders lean towards YES at 56%. The market has attracted substantial interest with $5.1M in total volume, backed by $288k in current liquidity. Recent whale activity includes a $45k trade — sold Yes. Over the past week the price has fallen 3.0% and the market resolves on December 31, 2026.

Price History56% YES
0255075100Jun 15Jun 25Jul 5Jul 15
Yes No

🐳 Whale Activity large moves on this market

backbackYes
$45k8d ago

Top Holders largest positions on this market

$183.7k422.4k sh
$110.6k195.8k sh
3armadsYes
$65.0k115.0k sh
$52.3k92.5k sh
5NisekoYes
$35.2k62.3k sh
$32.4k57.3k sh
$26.1k60.0k sh
$25.4k45.0k sh
$25.0k57.6k sh
$18.3k42.0k sh
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Understanding the odds

Prediction market prices reflect the crowd’s estimated probability of an outcome. A YES price of 56% means traders collectively assign roughly that chance to the event happening. Whale alerts flag unusually large volume moves — a signal worth investigating, not a guarantee of insider knowledge.

Data refreshes every 30 minutes from Polymarket’s public API. PolyPeek is an independent analytics project, not affiliated with Polymarket. Nothing on this page is financial advice.