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Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Current Odds▲ 1% 24h
16%YES
·
84%NO
Total Volume
$14.7M
24h Volume
$34k
Liquidity
$688k
7d Change
-3.0%
Market ends: January 1, 2027
Trade on Polymarket ↗

Market Overview

The market sees this as unlikely — YES trades at only 16%, up 1.0% over the last 24 hours. The market has attracted substantial interest with $14.7M in total volume, backed by $688k in current liquidity. Whale activity is notable: 11 large trades recently, the biggest being $58k buying No. Over the past week the price has fallen 3.0% and the market resolves on January 1, 2027.

Price History12% YES
0255075100Sep 22Oct 2Oct 12Oct 22
Yes No

🐳 Whale Activity large moves on this market

Whale alerts on TelegramEvery Polymarket trade above $150,000, pushed as we see it.→

Top Holders largest positions on this market

1 / 2

Understanding the odds

Prediction market prices reflect the crowd’s estimated probability of an outcome. A YES price of 16% means traders collectively assign roughly that chance to the event happening. Whale alerts flag unusually large volume moves — a signal worth investigating, not a guarantee of insider knowledge.

Market data from Polymarket’s public API, last synced . PolyPeek is an independent analytics project, not affiliated with Polymarket. Nothing on this page is financial advice.