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Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Current Odds 1.3% 24h
1%YES
·
99%NO
Total Volume
$16.7M
24h Volume
$475k
Liquidity
$938k
7d Change
-3.3%
Market ends: July 31, 2026
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Market Overview

Traders treat this as a longshot, with YES priced at 1%, down 1.3% over the last 24 hours. The market has attracted substantial interest with $16.7M in total volume, backed by $938k in current liquidity. Whale activity is notable: 10 large trades recently, the biggest being $114k buying No. Over the past week the price has fallen 3.3% and the market resolves on July 31, 2026.

Price History3% YES
0255075100Jun 14Jun 24Jul 4Jul 14
Yes No

🐳 Whale Activity large moves on this market

ArmageddonRewardsBillyNo
$114k8d ago
The Spirit of Ukraine>UMANo
$61k5h ago
Serene-DecisionNo
$57k14h ago
makintaNo
$48k2d ago
dfs00No
$48k7d ago
The Spirit of Ukraine>UMANo
$39k7d ago
BertapotamousNo
$38k6d ago
BertapotamousNo
$33k3d ago
BertapotamousNo
$29k7d ago
AlpheoNo
$26k18h ago

Top Holders largest positions on this market

$599.8k607.4k sh
$196.4k198.9k sh
$135.0k136.7k sh
$96.3k97.6k sh
$80.5k81.5k sh
$79.0k80.0k sh
$74.9k75.9k sh
$71.0k71.9k sh
$69.1k70.0k sh
$61.3k62.1k sh
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Understanding the odds

Prediction market prices reflect the crowd’s estimated probability of an outcome. A YES price of 1% means traders collectively assign roughly that chance to the event happening. Whale alerts flag unusually large volume moves — a signal worth investigating, not a guarantee of insider knowledge.

Data refreshes every 30 minutes from Polymarket’s public API. PolyPeek is an independent analytics project, not affiliated with Polymarket. Nothing on this page is financial advice.