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Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?

Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by...?

Current Odds 0.1% 24h
4%YES
·
96%NO
Total Volume
$82k
24h Volume
$109
Liquidity
$32k
7d Change
-0.1%
Market ends: December 31, 2026
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Market Overview

Traders treat this as a longshot, with YES priced at 4%. This is a smaller market with $82k in total volume, backed by $32k in current liquidity. No large whale trades have been detected on this market recently. The market resolves on December 31, 2026.

Price History4% YES
0255075100Jun 15Jun 25Jul 5Jul 15
Yes No

🐳 Whale Activity large moves on this market

no whale trades detected yet

Top Holders largest positions on this market

$10.7k11.1k sh
$3.0k3.2k sh
$1.9k2.0k sh
$1.9k2.0k sh
$1.8k1.9k sh
$793826 sh
$311324 sh
$276288 sh
$2065.2k sh
$194202 sh
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Understanding the odds

Prediction market prices reflect the crowd’s estimated probability of an outcome. A YES price of 4% means traders collectively assign roughly that chance to the event happening. Whale alerts flag unusually large volume moves — a signal worth investigating, not a guarantee of insider knowledge.

Data refreshes every 30 minutes from Polymarket’s public API. PolyPeek is an independent analytics project, not affiliated with Polymarket. Nothing on this page is financial advice.