US recession by end of 2026?

Current Odds▲ 1% 24h

8%YES

92%NO

Total Volume

$2.3M

24h Volume

$7k

Liquidity

$70k

7d Change

+0.5%

Market ends: January 31, 2027

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Market Overview

Traders treat this as a longshot, with YES priced at 8%, up 1.0% over the last 24 hours. Total trading volume stands at $2.3M, backed by $70k in current liquidity. No large whale trades have been detected on this market recently. The market resolves on January 31, 2027.

Price History7% YES

Yes No

🐳 Whale Activity large moves on this market

no whale trades detected yet

Whale alerts on TelegramEvery Polymarket trade above $150,000, pushed as we see it.→

Top Holders largest positions on this market

1 / 2

Understanding the odds

Prediction market prices reflect the crowd’s estimated probability of an outcome. A YES price of 8% means traders collectively assign roughly that chance to the event happening. Whale alerts flag unusually large volume moves — a signal worth investigating, not a guarantee of insider knowledge.

Market data from Polymarket’s public API, last synced 13 Oct 2026, 15:15 UTC. PolyPeek is an independent analytics project, not affiliated with Polymarket. Nothing on this page is financial advice.