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US recession by end of 2026?

Current Odds 0% 24h
11%YES
·
89%NO
Total Volume
$1.7M
24h Volume
$2k
Liquidity
$32k
7d Change
+0.0%
Market ends: January 31, 2027
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Market Overview

The market sees this as unlikely — YES trades at only 11%. Total trading volume stands at $1.7M, backed by $32k in current liquidity. No large whale trades have been detected on this market recently. The market resolves on January 31, 2027.

Price History11% YES
0255075100Jun 15Jun 25Jul 5Jul 15
Yes No

🐳 Whale Activity large moves on this market

no whale trades detected yet

Top Holders largest positions on this market

$24.0k26.9k sh
$21.3k23.8k sh
3pmcbNo
$15.2k17.0k sh
$15.0k16.8k sh
$13.6k15.2k sh
$10.0k11.2k sh
$9.0k10.0k sh
$7.6k8.4k sh
9XVFlowYes
$7.3k69.3k sh
$7.3k8.1k sh
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Understanding the odds

Prediction market prices reflect the crowd’s estimated probability of an outcome. A YES price of 11% means traders collectively assign roughly that chance to the event happening. Whale alerts flag unusually large volume moves — a signal worth investigating, not a guarantee of insider knowledge.

Data refreshes every 30 minutes from Polymarket’s public API. PolyPeek is an independent analytics project, not affiliated with Polymarket. Nothing on this page is financial advice.