US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
Market Overview
Traders lean towards YES at 55%, up 3.0% over the last 24 hours. Total trading volume stands at $1.4M, backed by $63k in current liquidity. No large whale trades have been detected on this market recently. Over the past week the price has climbed 19.0% and the market resolves on September 4, 2026.
🐳 Whale Activity large moves on this market
Top Holders largest positions on this market
Related Markets
Understanding the odds
Prediction market prices reflect the crowd’s estimated probability of an outcome. A YES price of 55% means traders collectively assign roughly that chance to the event happening. Whale alerts flag unusually large volume moves — a signal worth investigating, not a guarantee of insider knowledge.
Market data from Polymarket’s public API, last synced . PolyPeek is an independent analytics project, not affiliated with Polymarket. Nothing on this page is financial advice.