Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31?
Market Overview
Traders treat this as a longshot, with YES priced at 1%, down 1.4% over the last 24 hours. This is a smaller market with $223k in total volume, backed by $35k in current liquidity. No large whale trades have been detected on this market recently. Over the past week the price has fallen 6.9% and the market resolves in just 2 days on July 31, 2026.
🐳 Whale Activity large moves on this market
Top Holders largest positions on this market
Related Markets
Understanding the odds
Prediction market prices reflect the crowd’s estimated probability of an outcome. A YES price of 1% means traders collectively assign roughly that chance to the event happening. Whale alerts flag unusually large volume moves — a signal worth investigating, not a guarantee of insider knowledge.
Data refreshes every 30 minutes from Polymarket’s public API. PolyPeek is an independent analytics project, not affiliated with Polymarket. Nothing on this page is financial advice.