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Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Iran leader end of 2026?
Current Odds▲ 0% 24h
1%YES
·
99%NO
Total Volume
$2.1M
24h Volume
$25
Liquidity
$42k
7d Change
-0.1%
Market ends: December 31, 2026
Trade on Polymarket ↗Market Overview
Traders treat this as a longshot, with YES priced at 1%. Total trading volume stands at $2.1M, backed by $42k in current liquidity. No large whale trades have been detected on this market recently. The market resolves on December 31, 2026.
Price History1% YES
Yes No
🐳 Whale Activity large moves on this market
no whale trades detected yet
Top Holders largest positions on this market
$38.7k39.1k sh
$127128 sh
$99100 sh
$8990 sh
$655.7k sh
$625.4k sh
$4950 sh
$4445 sh
$4040 sh
$4040 sh
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Understanding the odds
Prediction market prices reflect the crowd’s estimated probability of an outcome. A YES price of 1% means traders collectively assign roughly that chance to the event happening. Whale alerts flag unusually large volume moves — a signal worth investigating, not a guarantee of insider knowledge.
Data refreshes every 30 minutes from Polymarket’s public API. PolyPeek is an independent analytics project, not affiliated with Polymarket. Nothing on this page is financial advice.