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Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?

What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?

Current Odds 0% 24h
1%YES
·
99%NO
Total Volume
$1.5M
24h Volume
$2k
Liquidity
$94k
7d Change
-0.1%
Market ends: January 1, 2027
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Market Overview

Traders treat this as a longshot, with YES priced at 1%. Total trading volume stands at $1.5M, backed by $94k in current liquidity. No large whale trades have been detected on this market recently. The market resolves on January 1, 2027.

Price History1% YES
0255075100Jun 15Jun 25Jul 5Jul 15
Yes No

🐳 Whale Activity large moves on this market

no whale trades detected yet

Top Holders largest positions on this market

$10.6k10.8k sh
$5.0k5.1k sh
$3.8k3.9k sh
$3.8k3.8k sh
$3.6k3.6k sh
$3.2k3.2k sh
$2.5k2.5k sh
$2.3k2.3k sh
$2.0k2.0k sh
$1.8k1.8k sh
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Understanding the odds

Prediction market prices reflect the crowd’s estimated probability of an outcome. A YES price of 1% means traders collectively assign roughly that chance to the event happening. Whale alerts flag unusually large volume moves — a signal worth investigating, not a guarantee of insider knowledge.

Data refreshes every 30 minutes from Polymarket’s public API. PolyPeek is an independent analytics project, not affiliated with Polymarket. Nothing on this page is financial advice.