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Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
Current Odds▲ 0% 24h
11%YES
·
89%NO
Total Volume
$3.5M
24h Volume
$910
Liquidity
$223k
7d Change
-1.0%
Market ends: January 1, 2028
Trade on Polymarket ↗Market Overview
The market sees this as unlikely — YES trades at only 11%. Total trading volume stands at $3.5M, backed by $223k in current liquidity. Whale activity is notable: 10 large trades recently, the biggest being $66k buying No. The market resolves on January 1, 2028.
Price History10% YES
Yes No
🐳 Whale Activity large moves on this market
↑
smallpigNo
$66kto win $73k95d ago
↑
smallpigNo
$34kto win $37k95d ago
↑
NeHNo
$31kto win $35k59d ago
↑
NeHNo
$30kto win $34k19d ago
↑
bysittingnottradingNo
$27kto win $30k41d ago
Top Holders largest positions on this market
1winforretireNo
$222.6kto win $248.7k
2bysittingnottradingNo
$211.6kto win $236.5k
3NeHNo
$118.2kto win $132.0k
4J3lcExePrd1KE5MNo
$41.5kto win $46.3k
5comon119Yes
$20.8kto win $198.0k
6whatupppNo
$18.8kto win $21.0k
7NadmiNo
$17.9kto win $20.0k
8imakebigbetsNo
$17.2kto win $19.2k
9Spectacular-GondolaNo
$16.3kto win $18.2k
10Spanish-PriorityNo
$15.6kto win $17.5k
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Understanding the odds
Prediction market prices reflect the crowd’s estimated probability of an outcome. A YES price of 11% means traders collectively assign roughly that chance to the event happening. Whale alerts flag unusually large volume moves — a signal worth investigating, not a guarantee of insider knowledge.
Market data from Polymarket’s public API, last synced . PolyPeek is an independent analytics project, not affiliated with Polymarket. Nothing on this page is financial advice.