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Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
Current Odds▼ 0.5% 24h
11%YES
·
89%NO
Total Volume
$3.1M
24h Volume
$10k
Liquidity
$244k
7d Change
-0.5%
Market ends: January 1, 2028
Trade on Polymarket ↗Market Overview
The market sees this as unlikely — YES trades at only 11%. Total trading volume stands at $3.1M, backed by $244k in current liquidity. Whale activity is notable: 8 large trades recently, the biggest being $66k buying No. The market resolves on January 1, 2028.
Price History12% YES
Yes No
🐳 Whale Activity large moves on this market
Whale alerts on TelegramEvery Polymarket trade above $150,000, pushed as we see it.→Top Holders largest positions on this market
1winforretireNo
$219.6kto win $246.7k
2bysittingnottradingNo
$158.7kto win $178.3k
3NeHNo
$43.2kto win $48.6k
4J3cExePrd1KEMNo
$41.2kto win $46.3k
5whatupppNo
$27.7kto win $31.1k
6comon119Yes
$21.8kto win $198.0k
7imakebigbetsNo
$21.6kto win $24.2k
8NadmiNo
$17.8kto win $20.0k
9Spectacular-GondolaNo
$16.2kto win $18.2k
10Spanish-PriorityNo
$15.5kto win $17.5k
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Understanding the odds
Prediction market prices reflect the crowd’s estimated probability of an outcome. A YES price of 11% means traders collectively assign roughly that chance to the event happening. Whale alerts flag unusually large volume moves — a signal worth investigating, not a guarantee of insider knowledge.
Market data from Polymarket’s public API, last synced . PolyPeek is an independent analytics project, not affiliated with Polymarket. Nothing on this page is financial advice.