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Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

Current Odds 0% 24h
12%YES
·
88%NO
Total Volume
$1.7M
24h Volume
$6k
Liquidity
$179k
7d Change
+0.0%
Market ends: December 31, 2027
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Market Overview

The market sees this as unlikely — YES trades at only 12%. Total trading volume stands at $1.7M, backed by $179k in current liquidity. No large whale trades have been detected on this market recently. The market resolves on December 31, 2027.

Price History12% YES
0255075100Jun 15Jun 25Jul 5Jul 15
Yes No

🐳 Whale Activity large moves on this market

no whale trades detected yet

Top Holders largest positions on this market

$170.4k192.6k sh
$118.9k134.4k sh
$57.9k65.4k sh
$35.0k39.5k sh
$27.5k31.1k sh
$27.5k31.1k sh
$22.8k198.0k sh
$17.9k20.2k sh
$17.8k20.1k sh
$16.1k18.2k sh
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Understanding the odds

Prediction market prices reflect the crowd’s estimated probability of an outcome. A YES price of 12% means traders collectively assign roughly that chance to the event happening. Whale alerts flag unusually large volume moves — a signal worth investigating, not a guarantee of insider knowledge.

Data refreshes every 30 minutes from Polymarket’s public API. PolyPeek is an independent analytics project, not affiliated with Polymarket. Nothing on this page is financial advice.