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Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
Current Odds▼ 0.1% 24h
1%YES
·
99%NO
Total Volume
$1.8M
24h Volume
$321k
Liquidity
$156k
7d Change
-0.4%
Market ends: September 30, 2026
Trade on Polymarket ↗Market Overview
Traders treat this as a longshot, with YES priced at 1%. Total trading volume stands at $1.8M, backed by $156k in current liquidity. No large whale trades have been detected on this market recently. The market resolves on September 30, 2026.
Price History1% YES
Yes No
🐳 Whale Activity large moves on this market
no whale trades detected yet
Top Holders largest positions on this market
1janeju1029No
$20.2kto win $20.5k
2Spanish-PriorityNo
$19.8kto win $20.1k
3AnjunNo
$16.4kto win $16.7k
4sheen07No
$15.1kto win $15.3k
5Soulful-EnemyNo
$9.9kto win $10.0k
6AvamaxNo
$9.5kto win $9.6k
7sheisgorgeousNo
$7.2kto win $7.3k
8xenonliuNo
$7.0kto win $7.0k
9LuLeoNo
$6.7kto win $6.8k
10MoDNo
$5.9kto win $5.9k
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Understanding the odds
Prediction market prices reflect the crowd’s estimated probability of an outcome. A YES price of 1% means traders collectively assign roughly that chance to the event happening. Whale alerts flag unusually large volume moves — a signal worth investigating, not a guarantee of insider knowledge.
Data refreshes every 30 minutes from Polymarket’s public API. PolyPeek is an independent analytics project, not affiliated with Polymarket. Nothing on this page is financial advice.