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Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Current Odds 0% 24h
1%YES
·
99%NO
Total Volume
$28.6M
24h Volume
$81k
Liquidity
$2.2M
7d Change
-0.1%
Market ends: November 7, 2028
Trade on Polymarket ↗

Market Overview

Traders treat this as a longshot, with YES priced at 1%. The market has attracted substantial interest with $28.6M in total volume, backed by $2.2M in current liquidity. No large whale trades have been detected on this market recently. The market resolves on November 7, 2028.

Price History1% YES
0255075100Jun 15Jun 25Jul 5Jul 15
Yes No

🐳 Whale Activity large moves on this market

no whale trades detected yet

Top Holders largest positions on this market

$2.5M2.6M sh
$9.1k1.1M sh
$5.3k627.6k sh
4rdbaNo
$3.3k3.4k sh
5BrokieYes
$2.6k304.0k sh
$1.2k137.2k sh
$981115.4k sh
$850100.0k sh
$487492 sh
10alohajpYes
$42550.0k sh
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Understanding the odds

Prediction market prices reflect the crowd’s estimated probability of an outcome. A YES price of 1% means traders collectively assign roughly that chance to the event happening. Whale alerts flag unusually large volume moves — a signal worth investigating, not a guarantee of insider knowledge.

Data refreshes every 30 minutes from Polymarket’s public API. PolyPeek is an independent analytics project, not affiliated with Polymarket. Nothing on this page is financial advice.