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Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Current Odds▼ 1.3% 24h
14%YES
·
86%NO
Total Volume
$28.0M
24h Volume
$21k
Liquidity
$278k
7d Change
-1.7%
Market ends: November 8, 2028
Trade on Polymarket ↗

Market Overview

The market sees this as unlikely — YES trades at only 14%, down 1.3% over the last 24 hours. The market has attracted substantial interest with $28.0M in total volume, backed by $278k in current liquidity. Recent whale activity includes a $29k trade — bought Yes. The market resolves on November 8, 2028.

Price History15% YES
0255075100Sep 23Oct 3Oct 13Oct 23
Yes No

🐳 Whale Activity large moves on this market

Whale alerts on TelegramEvery Polymarket trade above $150,000, pushed as we see it.→

Top Holders largest positions on this market

1 / 2

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Understanding the odds

Prediction market prices reflect the crowd’s estimated probability of an outcome. A YES price of 14% means traders collectively assign roughly that chance to the event happening. Whale alerts flag unusually large volume moves — a signal worth investigating, not a guarantee of insider knowledge.

Market data from Polymarket’s public API, last synced . PolyPeek is an independent analytics project, not affiliated with Polymarket. Nothing on this page is financial advice.