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Resolved

Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?

Will Hezbollah disarm by...?

🏁
This market has resolved
Trading has ended (March 31, 2026). The figures below reflect the final recorded state.
Current Odds 0% 24h
11%YES
·
89%NO
Total Volume
$2.0M
24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$11k
7d Change
-2.5%
Market ends: March 31, 2026
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Market Overview

The market sees this as unlikely — YES trades at only 11%. Total trading volume stands at $2.0M, backed by $11k in current liquidity. No large whale trades have been detected on this market recently. The market resolves on March 31, 2026.

Price History10% YES
0255075100Jun 15Jun 25Jul 5Jul 15
Yes No· final

🐳 Whale Activity large moves on this market

no whale trades detected yet

Top Holders largest positions on this market

$1.5k1.7k sh
$1.5k1.6k sh
$1.3k1.4k sh
$1.1k1.3k sh
$773864 sh
$738825 sh
$729814 sh
$622695 sh
$5004.8k sh
$434485 sh
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Understanding the odds

Prediction market prices reflect the crowd’s estimated probability of an outcome. A YES price of 11% means traders collectively assign roughly that chance to the event happening. Whale alerts flag unusually large volume moves — a signal worth investigating, not a guarantee of insider knowledge.

Data refreshes every 30 minutes from Polymarket’s public API. PolyPeek is an independent analytics project, not affiliated with Polymarket. Nothing on this page is financial advice.