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Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?

Iran announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?

Current Odds 7.5% 24h
45%YES
·
55%NO
Total Volume
$155k
24h Volume
$24k
Liquidity
$45k
7d Change
+14.0%
Market ends: August 15, 2026
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Market Overview

This market is essentially a toss-up, with YES trading at 45%, a sharp jump of 7.5% in the last 24 hours. This is a smaller market with $155k in total volume, backed by $45k in current liquidity. No large whale trades have been detected on this market recently. Over the past week the price has climbed 14.0% and the market resolves on August 15, 2026.

Price History39% YES
0255075100Jul 6Jul 9Jul 11Jul 14
Yes No

🐳 Whale Activity large moves on this market

no whale trades detected yet

Top Holders largest positions on this market

$6.8k12.2k sh
$6.2k11.1k sh
$5.0k11.1k sh
4hobo69Yes
$3.4k7.6k sh
$2.9k5.2k sh
$2.5k4.5k sh
$1.4k2.4k sh
$1.3k3.0k sh
$1.2k2.1k sh
$1.0k1.8k sh
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Understanding the odds

Prediction market prices reflect the crowd’s estimated probability of an outcome. A YES price of 45% means traders collectively assign roughly that chance to the event happening. Whale alerts flag unusually large volume moves — a signal worth investigating, not a guarantee of insider knowledge.

Data refreshes every 30 minutes from Polymarket’s public API. PolyPeek is an independent analytics project, not affiliated with Polymarket. Nothing on this page is financial advice.