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Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Current Odds 0.3% 24h
42%YES
·
58%NO
Total Volume
$14.5M
24h Volume
$42k
Liquidity
$572k
7d Change
+1.6%
Market ends: November 7, 2028
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Market Overview

Traders are skeptical, pricing YES at just 42%. The market has attracted substantial interest with $14.5M in total volume, backed by $572k in current liquidity. No large whale trades have been detected on this market recently. The market resolves on November 7, 2028.

Price History42% YES
0255075100Jun 15Jun 25Jul 5Jul 15
Yes No

🐳 Whale Activity large moves on this market

no whale trades detected yet

Top Holders largest positions on this market

$1.5M2.6M sh
$183.5k438.5k sh
3BrokieYes
$138.8k331.7k sh
$61.4k146.8k sh
$47.7k114.0k sh
$46.3k110.7k sh
7hoseYes
$38.8k92.7k sh
$36.2k86.5k sh
$31.9k76.2k sh
$29.4k70.2k sh
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Understanding the odds

Prediction market prices reflect the crowd’s estimated probability of an outcome. A YES price of 42% means traders collectively assign roughly that chance to the event happening. Whale alerts flag unusually large volume moves — a signal worth investigating, not a guarantee of insider knowledge.

Data refreshes every 30 minutes from Polymarket’s public API. PolyPeek is an independent analytics project, not affiliated with Polymarket. Nothing on this page is financial advice.