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Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Presidential Election Winner 2028

Current Odds 0% 24h
20%YES
·
80%NO
Total Volume
$14.7M
24h Volume
$8k
Liquidity
$601k
7d Change
-0.1%
Market ends: November 7, 2028
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Market Overview

The market sees this as unlikely — YES trades at only 20%. The market has attracted substantial interest with $14.7M in total volume, backed by $601k in current liquidity. No large whale trades have been detected on this market recently. The market resolves on November 7, 2028.

Price History20% YES
0255075100Jun 15Jun 25Jul 5Jul 15
Yes No

🐳 Whale Activity large moves on this market

no whale trades detected yet

Top Holders largest positions on this market

$1.9M2.4M sh
$332.5k415.3k sh
$156.6k195.6k sh
$87.9k440.5k sh
$79.8k399.9k sh
$50.6k253.8k sh
$50.0k250.6k sh
$32.1k161.1k sh
$31.3k156.9k sh
$21.6k108.3k sh
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Understanding the odds

Prediction market prices reflect the crowd’s estimated probability of an outcome. A YES price of 20% means traders collectively assign roughly that chance to the event happening. Whale alerts flag unusually large volume moves — a signal worth investigating, not a guarantee of insider knowledge.

Data refreshes every 30 minutes from Polymarket’s public API. PolyPeek is an independent analytics project, not affiliated with Polymarket. Nothing on this page is financial advice.