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Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?

Next French Presidential Election

Current Odds 0.9% 24h
4%YES
·
96%NO
Total Volume
$1.7M
24h Volume
$11k
Liquidity
$154k
7d Change
-1.1%
Market ends: April 30, 2027
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Market Overview

Traders treat this as a longshot, with YES priced at 4%. Total trading volume stands at $1.7M, backed by $154k in current liquidity. No large whale trades have been detected on this market recently. The market resolves on April 30, 2027.

Price History4% YES
0255075100Jun 15Jun 25Jul 5Jul 15
Yes No

🐳 Whale Activity large moves on this market

no whale trades detected yet

Top Holders largest positions on this market

$472.9k492.6k sh
$9.4k9.8k sh
$4.8k5.0k sh
$2.6k2.7k sh
5rgtsNo
$1.8k1.8k sh
$1.7k1.8k sh
$1.2k1.3k sh
$1.1k27.6k sh
$1.1k26.6k sh
10bconstaYes
$1.0k25.9k sh
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Understanding the odds

Prediction market prices reflect the crowd’s estimated probability of an outcome. A YES price of 4% means traders collectively assign roughly that chance to the event happening. Whale alerts flag unusually large volume moves — a signal worth investigating, not a guarantee of insider knowledge.

Data refreshes every 30 minutes from Polymarket’s public API. PolyPeek is an independent analytics project, not affiliated with Polymarket. Nothing on this page is financial advice.