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Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

World Cup: Golden Ball Winner

Current Odds 37.5% 24h
3%YES
·
97%NO
Total Volume
$328k
24h Volume
$60k
Liquidity
$41k
7d Change
-33.1%
Market ends: July 20, 2026
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Market Overview

Traders treat this as a longshot, with YES priced at 3%, a sharp drop of 37.5% in the last 24 hours. This is a smaller market with $328k in total volume, backed by $41k in current liquidity. No large whale trades have been detected on this market recently. Over the past week the price has fallen 33.1% and the market resolves on July 20, 2026.

Price History3% YES
0255075100Jun 15Jun 25Jul 5Jul 15
Yes No

🐳 Whale Activity large moves on this market

no whale trades detected yet

Top Holders largest positions on this market

$76.1k78.4k sh
$16.5k17.0k sh
$3.5k3.6k sh
$2.9k3.0k sh
$2.2k2.3k sh
6EP10No
$1.8k1.9k sh
$1.6k1.7k sh
$1.6k1.6k sh
$1.3k1.4k sh
$1.1k1.1k sh
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Understanding the odds

Prediction market prices reflect the crowd’s estimated probability of an outcome. A YES price of 3% means traders collectively assign roughly that chance to the event happening. Whale alerts flag unusually large volume moves — a signal worth investigating, not a guarantee of insider knowledge.

Data refreshes every 30 minutes from Polymarket’s public API. PolyPeek is an independent analytics project, not affiliated with Polymarket. Nothing on this page is financial advice.