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Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

World Cup: Golden Boot Winner

Current Odds 17.3% 24h
51%YES
·
49%NO
Total Volume
$3.4M
24h Volume
$319k
Liquidity
$157k
7d Change
+13.0%
Market ends: July 20, 2026
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Market Overview

This market is essentially a toss-up, with YES trading at 51%, a sharp jump of 17.3% in the last 24 hours. Total trading volume stands at $3.4M, backed by $157k in current liquidity. No large whale trades have been detected on this market recently. Over the past week the price has climbed 13.0% and the market resolves on July 20, 2026.

Price History34% YES
0255075100Jun 14Jun 24Jul 4Jul 14
Yes No

🐳 Whale Activity large moves on this market

no whale trades detected yet

Top Holders largest positions on this market

$419.3k858.4k sh
$62.1k121.4k sh
$31.4k61.4k sh
$31.4k61.4k sh
$25.4k52.1k sh
$22.7k44.3k sh
$18.8k36.7k sh
$15.0k29.3k sh
$14.3k27.9k sh
$13.0k25.4k sh
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Understanding the odds

Prediction market prices reflect the crowd’s estimated probability of an outcome. A YES price of 51% means traders collectively assign roughly that chance to the event happening. Whale alerts flag unusually large volume moves — a signal worth investigating, not a guarantee of insider knowledge.

Data refreshes every 30 minutes from Polymarket’s public API. PolyPeek is an independent analytics project, not affiliated with Polymarket. Nothing on this page is financial advice.