Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
Market Overview
The market sees this as unlikely — YES trades at only 23%, up 3.8% over the last 24 hours. Total trading volume stands at $656k, backed by $84k in current liquidity. No large whale trades have been detected on this market recently. Over the past week the price has climbed 15.4% and the market resolves on October 4, 2026.
🐳 Whale Activity large moves on this market
Top Holders largest positions on this market
Related Markets
Understanding the odds
Prediction market prices reflect the crowd’s estimated probability of an outcome. A YES price of 23% means traders collectively assign roughly that chance to the event happening. Whale alerts flag unusually large volume moves — a signal worth investigating, not a guarantee of insider knowledge.
Market data from Polymarket’s public API, last synced . PolyPeek is an independent analytics project, not affiliated with Polymarket. Nothing on this page is financial advice.