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Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Presidential Election Winner 2028

Current Odds 0.1% 24h
14%YES
·
86%NO
Total Volume
$11.2M
24h Volume
$15k
Liquidity
$404k
7d Change
+0.5%
Market ends: November 7, 2028
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Market Overview

The market sees this as unlikely — YES trades at only 14%. The market has attracted substantial interest with $11.2M in total volume, backed by $404k in current liquidity. No large whale trades have been detected on this market recently. The market resolves on November 7, 2028.

Price History14% YES
0255075100Jun 15Jun 25Jul 5Jul 15
Yes No

🐳 Whale Activity large moves on this market

no whale trades detected yet

Top Holders largest positions on this market

$2.1M2.4M sh
2patmaYes
$41.2k290.8k sh
$13.7k16.0k sh
$13.3k93.7k sh
$12.3k87.0k sh
$12.1k85.3k sh
$11.5k81.4k sh
$10.7k75.4k sh
9ameiroYes
$9.7k68.3k sh
$9.1k64.5k sh
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Understanding the odds

Prediction market prices reflect the crowd’s estimated probability of an outcome. A YES price of 14% means traders collectively assign roughly that chance to the event happening. Whale alerts flag unusually large volume moves — a signal worth investigating, not a guarantee of insider knowledge.

Data refreshes every 30 minutes from Polymarket’s public API. PolyPeek is an independent analytics project, not affiliated with Polymarket. Nothing on this page is financial advice.