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Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?

Next French Presidential Election

Current Odds 0.7% 24h
31%YES
·
69%NO
Total Volume
$1.4M
24h Volume
$9k
Liquidity
$298k
7d Change
+2.5%
Market ends: April 30, 2027
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Market Overview

Traders are skeptical, pricing YES at just 31%. Total trading volume stands at $1.4M, backed by $298k in current liquidity. No large whale trades have been detected on this market recently. The market resolves on April 30, 2027.

Price History31% YES
0255075100Jun 15Jun 25Jul 5Jul 15
Yes No

🐳 Whale Activity large moves on this market

no whale trades detected yet

Top Holders largest positions on this market

$339.2k492.6k sh
$23.5k75.6k sh
$21.4k68.6k sh
$15.0k21.7k sh
$7.7k11.3k sh
74zzzzYes
$7.7k24.7k sh
8cowcatYes
$6.7k21.6k sh
$6.0k19.4k sh
10TradmanYes
$5.0k16.1k sh
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Understanding the odds

Prediction market prices reflect the crowd’s estimated probability of an outcome. A YES price of 31% means traders collectively assign roughly that chance to the event happening. Whale alerts flag unusually large volume moves — a signal worth investigating, not a guarantee of insider knowledge.

Data refreshes every 30 minutes from Polymarket’s public API. PolyPeek is an independent analytics project, not affiliated with Polymarket. Nothing on this page is financial advice.