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Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?

Mohammed bin Salman out as leader of Saudi Arabia by...?

Current Odds 0.2% 24h
4%YES
·
96%NO
Total Volume
$71k
24h Volume
$18
Liquidity
$50k
7d Change
-0.2%
Market ends: December 31, 2026
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Market Overview

Traders treat this as a longshot, with YES priced at 4%. This is a smaller market with $71k in total volume, backed by $50k in current liquidity. No large whale trades have been detected on this market recently. The market resolves on December 31, 2026.

Price History4% YES
0255075100Jun 15Jun 25Jul 5Jul 15
Yes No

🐳 Whale Activity large moves on this market

no whale trades detected yet

Top Holders largest positions on this market

$5.2k5.4k sh
$2.2k2.3k sh
$277287 sh
$209217 sh
$177184 sh
$152158 sh
$1424.0k sh
$114118 sh
$112116 sh
$108112 sh
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Understanding the odds

Prediction market prices reflect the crowd’s estimated probability of an outcome. A YES price of 4% means traders collectively assign roughly that chance to the event happening. Whale alerts flag unusually large volume moves — a signal worth investigating, not a guarantee of insider knowledge.

Data refreshes every 30 minutes from Polymarket’s public API. PolyPeek is an independent analytics project, not affiliated with Polymarket. Nothing on this page is financial advice.