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Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?

Clacton by-election Winner

Current Odds 1.4% 24h
95%YES
·
5%NO
Total Volume
$691k
24h Volume
$30k
Liquidity
$220k
7d Change
+1.3%
Market ends: June 30, 2027
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Market Overview

Traders consider this outcome nearly certain, pricing YES at 95%, up 1.4% over the last 24 hours. Total trading volume stands at $691k, backed by $220k in current liquidity. Recent whale activity includes a $65k trade — bought Yes. The market resolves on June 30, 2027.

Price History96% YES
0255075100Jul 7Jul 10Jul 12Jul 14
Yes No

🐳 Whale Activity large moves on this market

ProfessionalPunterYes
$65k7d ago
touristsYes
$32k7d ago

Top Holders largest positions on this market

$85.7k89.9k sh
$78.4k82.2k sh
$69.2k72.6k sh
$31.0k32.5k sh
$27.5k28.8k sh
$20.1k21.1k sh
7zb8Yes
$19.3k20.3k sh
$17.4k18.2k sh
$13.4k14.0k sh
$12.6k13.2k sh
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Understanding the odds

Prediction market prices reflect the crowd’s estimated probability of an outcome. A YES price of 95% means traders collectively assign roughly that chance to the event happening. Whale alerts flag unusually large volume moves — a signal worth investigating, not a guarantee of insider knowledge.

Data refreshes every 30 minutes from Polymarket’s public API. PolyPeek is an independent analytics project, not affiliated with Polymarket. Nothing on this page is financial advice.