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Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

Current Odds 0.5% 24h
81%YES
·
19%NO
Total Volume
$6.1M
24h Volume
$27k
Liquidity
$85k
7d Change
+3.2%
Market ends: December 31, 2026
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Market Overview

The market heavily favors YES, currently priced at 81%. The market has attracted substantial interest with $6.1M in total volume, backed by $85k in current liquidity. Recent whale activity includes a $89k trade — bought Yes. Over the past week the price has climbed 3.2% and the market resolves on December 31, 2026.

Price History81% YES
0255075100Jun 15Jun 25Jul 5Jul 15
Yes No

🐳 Whale Activity large moves on this market

TheReturnOfDarthMaulYes
$89k1d ago
TheReturnOfDarthMaulYes
$45k6d ago

Top Holders largest positions on this market

$402.3k498.5k sh
2fed26Yes
$211.9k262.6k sh
$141.8k734.9k sh
$54.4k67.4k sh
$48.8k60.4k sh
$41.2k51.0k sh
$33.7k41.7k sh
8nadaYes
$30.1k37.3k sh
$28.1k145.6k sh
$21.7k26.9k sh
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Understanding the odds

Prediction market prices reflect the crowd’s estimated probability of an outcome. A YES price of 81% means traders collectively assign roughly that chance to the event happening. Whale alerts flag unusually large volume moves — a signal worth investigating, not a guarantee of insider knowledge.

Data refreshes every 30 minutes from Polymarket’s public API. PolyPeek is an independent analytics project, not affiliated with Polymarket. Nothing on this page is financial advice.