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Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

Current Odds 0% 24h
4%YES
·
96%NO
Total Volume
$11.6M
24h Volume
$1k
Liquidity
$117k
7d Change
+0.1%
Market ends: December 31, 2026
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Market Overview

Traders treat this as a longshot, with YES priced at 4%. The market has attracted substantial interest with $11.6M in total volume, backed by $117k in current liquidity. No large whale trades have been detected on this market recently. The market resolves on December 31, 2026.

Price History4% YES
0255075100Jun 15Jun 25Jul 5Jul 15
Yes No

🐳 Whale Activity large moves on this market

no whale trades detected yet

Top Holders largest positions on this market

$28.0k29.2k sh
$27.1k28.3k sh
$23.7k24.7k sh
$13.9k14.5k sh
$12.8k13.4k sh
$12.7k13.3k sh
$11.1k11.6k sh
$11.0k11.5k sh
$10.4k10.8k sh
$9.1k9.6k sh
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Understanding the odds

Prediction market prices reflect the crowd’s estimated probability of an outcome. A YES price of 4% means traders collectively assign roughly that chance to the event happening. Whale alerts flag unusually large volume moves — a signal worth investigating, not a guarantee of insider knowledge.

Data refreshes every 30 minutes from Polymarket’s public API. PolyPeek is an independent analytics project, not affiliated with Polymarket. Nothing on this page is financial advice.