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Resolved: No

Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?

Will Russia invade a NATO country by...?

🏁
This market has resolved — outcome: No
Trading has ended (December 31, 2025). The figures below reflect the final recorded state.
Current Odds 0.5% 24h
6%YES
·
94%NO
Total Volume
$130k
24h Volume
$4k
Liquidity
$53k
7d Change
-1.5%
Market ends: December 31, 2025
Trade on Polymarket ↗

Market Overview

Traders treat this as a longshot, with YES priced at 6%. This is a smaller market with $130k in total volume, backed by $53k in current liquidity. No large whale trades have been detected on this market recently. The market resolves on December 31, 2025.

Price History6% YES
0255075100Jul 1Jul 5Jul 10Jul 15
Yes No· final

🐳 Whale Activity large moves on this market

no whale trades detected yet

Top Holders largest positions on this market

$9.8k10.4k sh
2DFKNo
$8.7k9.2k sh
$5.7k6.0k sh
$4.5k4.8k sh
$1.3k1.4k sh
$582616 sh
$56810.3k sh
$510539 sh
$473500 sh
$4388.0k sh
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Understanding the odds

Prediction market prices reflect the crowd’s estimated probability of an outcome. A YES price of 6% means traders collectively assign roughly that chance to the event happening. Whale alerts flag unusually large volume moves — a signal worth investigating, not a guarantee of insider knowledge.

Data refreshes every 30 minutes from Polymarket’s public API. PolyPeek is an independent analytics project, not affiliated with Polymarket. Nothing on this page is financial advice.