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Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31?
Satoshi's identity be proven by...?
Current Odds▲ 0.2% 24h
4%YES
·
96%NO
Total Volume
$935k
24h Volume
$37
Liquidity
$21k
7d Change
+0.3%
Market ends: December 31, 2026
Trade on Polymarket ↗Market Overview
Traders treat this as a longshot, with YES priced at 4%. Total trading volume stands at $935k, backed by $21k in current liquidity. No large whale trades have been detected on this market recently. The market resolves on December 31, 2026.
Price History4% YES
Yes No
🐳 Whale Activity large moves on this market
no whale trades detected yet
Top Holders largest positions on this market
1Rundown-SchoolhouseNo
$1.1kto win $1.1k
2Lopsided-DaybedNo
$1000to win $1.0k
3jackyxlNo
$295to win $308
4this15stupidboyNo
$192to win $200
5Prickly-OffenseNo
$192to win $200
6GaolangNo
$192to win $200
710gayarround1girlNo
$169to win $176
8Jest55No
$154to win $160
9BumblefrogYes
$141to win $3.6k
10kingfisher004No
$137to win $143
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Understanding the odds
Prediction market prices reflect the crowd’s estimated probability of an outcome. A YES price of 4% means traders collectively assign roughly that chance to the event happening. Whale alerts flag unusually large volume moves — a signal worth investigating, not a guarantee of insider knowledge.
Data refreshes every 30 minutes from Polymarket’s public API. PolyPeek is an independent analytics project, not affiliated with Polymarket. Nothing on this page is financial advice.