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Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

World Cup Winner

Current Odds 37% 24h
58%YES
·
42%NO
Total Volume
$115.9M
24h Volume
$7.6M
Liquidity
$8.8M
7d Change
+39.6%
Market ends: July 20, 2026
Trade on Polymarket ↗

Market Overview

Traders lean towards YES at 58%, a sharp jump of 37.0% in the last 24 hours. With $115.9M in total trading volume, this is one of the largest markets on Polymarket, backed by $8.8M in current liquidity. Whale activity is notable: 30 large trades recently, the biggest being $244k buying Yes. Over the past week the price has climbed 39.6% and the market resolves on July 20, 2026.

Price History21% YES
0255075100Jun 14Jun 24Jul 4Jul 14
Yes No

🐳 Whale Activity large moves on this market

thegreatjeffYes
$244k10h ago
copa1970Yes
$146k5d ago
upbit021No
$110k15h ago
ndb1Yes
$100k15h ago
ndb1Yes
$96k10h ago
ElectricyNo
$78k10h ago
Sportbetting76Yes
$78k6h ago
upbit021No
$71k15h ago
qubineYes
$68k5d ago
AMLYes
$61k18h ago
1 / 3

Top Holders largest positions on this market

$21.2M50.7M sh
$1.9M3.3M sh
$1.6M2.7M sh
$1.4M2.4M sh
5JsramYes
$937.5k1.6M sh
6wco26Yes
$930.4k1.6M sh
$781.4k1.3M sh
$581.1k999.3k sh
$453.7k780.2k sh
$446.1k767.2k sh
1 / 2

Related Markets

Understanding the odds

Prediction market prices reflect the crowd’s estimated probability of an outcome. A YES price of 58% means traders collectively assign roughly that chance to the event happening. Whale alerts flag unusually large volume moves — a signal worth investigating, not a guarantee of insider knowledge.

Data refreshes every 30 minutes from Polymarket’s public API. PolyPeek is an independent analytics project, not affiliated with Polymarket. Nothing on this page is financial advice.