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Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?

California Governor Election Winner

Current Odds 0.2% 24h
6%YES
·
94%NO
Total Volume
$2.5M
24h Volume
$434
Liquidity
$110k
7d Change
+0.3%
Market ends: November 3, 2026
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Market Overview

Traders treat this as a longshot, with YES priced at 6%. Total trading volume stands at $2.5M, backed by $110k in current liquidity. No large whale trades have been detected on this market recently. The market resolves on November 3, 2026.

Price History6% YES
0255075100Jun 15Jun 25Jul 5Jul 15
Yes No

🐳 Whale Activity large moves on this market

no whale trades detected yet

Top Holders largest positions on this market

$346.7k370.6k sh
$26.0k27.8k sh
$17.7k19.0k sh
$11.2k12.0k sh
$10.6k164.7k sh
$6.2k6.6k sh
$5.8k6.2k sh
$5.6k6.0k sh
$3.6k3.8k sh
$3.6k3.8k sh
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Understanding the odds

Prediction market prices reflect the crowd’s estimated probability of an outcome. A YES price of 6% means traders collectively assign roughly that chance to the event happening. Whale alerts flag unusually large volume moves — a signal worth investigating, not a guarantee of insider knowledge.

Data refreshes every 30 minutes from Polymarket’s public API. PolyPeek is an independent analytics project, not affiliated with Polymarket. Nothing on this page is financial advice.