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Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?

Fed Decision in October?

Current Odds▲ 3% 24h
20%YES
·
80%NO
Total Volume
$7.9M
24h Volume
$545k
Liquidity
$502k
7d Change
+3.0%
Market ends: October 29, 2026
Trade on Polymarket ↗

Market Overview

The market sees this as unlikely — YES trades at only 20%, up 3.0% over the last 24 hours. The market has attracted substantial interest with $7.9M in total volume, backed by $502k in current liquidity. Whale activity is notable: 10 large trades recently, the biggest being $53k buying Yes. Over the past week the price has climbed 3.0% and the market resolves in just 1 day on October 29, 2026.

Price History5% YES
0255075100Sep 28Oct 8Oct 18Oct 28
Yes No

🐳 Whale Activity large moves on this market

Whale alerts on TelegramEvery Polymarket trade above $150,000, pushed as we see it.→

Top Holders largest positions on this market

1 / 2

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Understanding the odds

Prediction market prices reflect the crowd’s estimated probability of an outcome. A YES price of 20% means traders collectively assign roughly that chance to the event happening. Whale alerts flag unusually large volume moves — a signal worth investigating, not a guarantee of insider knowledge.

Market data from Polymarket’s public API, last synced . PolyPeek is an independent analytics project, not affiliated with Polymarket. Nothing on this page is financial advice.