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Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Current Odds 0% 24h
10%YES
·
90%NO
Total Volume
$22.0M
24h Volume
$169k
Liquidity
$733k
7d Change
+3.0%
Market ends: December 31, 2026
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Market Overview

The market sees this as unlikely — YES trades at only 10%. The market has attracted substantial interest with $22.0M in total volume, backed by $733k in current liquidity. Recent whale activity includes a $70k trade — bought No. Over the past week the price has climbed 3.0% and the market resolves on December 31, 2026.

Price History10% YES
0255075100Jun 14Jun 24Jul 4Jul 14
Yes No

🐳 Whale Activity large moves on this market

Serene-DecisionNo
$70k13h ago
pakoNo
$34k17h ago

Top Holders largest positions on this market

$339.3k374.9k sh
$269.9k298.2k sh
$258.1k285.2k sh
$187.9k207.7k sh
$171.4k189.4k sh
$96.9k107.1k sh
$87.8k97.0k sh
$86.8k95.9k sh
$78.5k86.8k sh
$77.3k85.4k sh
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Understanding the odds

Prediction market prices reflect the crowd’s estimated probability of an outcome. A YES price of 10% means traders collectively assign roughly that chance to the event happening. Whale alerts flag unusually large volume moves — a signal worth investigating, not a guarantee of insider knowledge.

Data refreshes every 30 minutes from Polymarket’s public API. PolyPeek is an independent analytics project, not affiliated with Polymarket. Nothing on this page is financial advice.