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Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

Current Odds 1% 24h
55%YES
·
45%NO
Total Volume
$1.4M
24h Volume
$3k
Liquidity
$207k
7d Change
+0.0%
Market ends: November 3, 2026
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Market Overview

Traders lean towards YES at 55%, down 1.0% over the last 24 hours. Total trading volume stands at $1.4M, backed by $207k in current liquidity. No large whale trades have been detected on this market recently. The market resolves on November 3, 2026.

Price History56% YES
0255075100Jun 15Jun 25Jul 5Jul 15
Yes No

🐳 Whale Activity large moves on this market

no whale trades detected yet

Top Holders largest positions on this market

$132.5k291.2k sh
2ArbguyYes
$31.3k57.5k sh
$22.7k50.0k sh
$17.9k32.8k sh
$14.2k26.1k sh
6mwenyaYes
$12.4k22.8k sh
$12.2k22.5k sh
$10.9k20.0k sh
$8.7k16.0k sh
$8.2k18.1k sh
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Understanding the odds

Prediction market prices reflect the crowd’s estimated probability of an outcome. A YES price of 55% means traders collectively assign roughly that chance to the event happening. Whale alerts flag unusually large volume moves — a signal worth investigating, not a guarantee of insider knowledge.

Data refreshes every 30 minutes from Polymarket’s public API. PolyPeek is an independent analytics project, not affiliated with Polymarket. Nothing on this page is financial advice.