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Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Current Odds▲ 0.5% 24h
39%YES
·
61%NO
Total Volume
$290k
24h Volume
$12k
Liquidity
$144k
7d Change
+0.5%
Market ends: no end date
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Market Overview

Traders are skeptical, pricing YES at just 39%. This is a smaller market with $290k in total volume, backed by $144k in current liquidity. No large whale trades have been detected on this market recently.

Price History43% YES
0255075100Sep 27Oct 7Oct 17Oct 27
Yes No

🐳 Whale Activity large moves on this market

no whale trades detected yet
Whale alerts on TelegramEvery Polymarket trade above $150,000, pushed as we see it.→

Top Holders largest positions on this market

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Understanding the odds

Prediction market prices reflect the crowd’s estimated probability of an outcome. A YES price of 39% means traders collectively assign roughly that chance to the event happening. Whale alerts flag unusually large volume moves — a signal worth investigating, not a guarantee of insider knowledge.

Market data from Polymarket’s public API, last synced . PolyPeek is an independent analytics project, not affiliated with Polymarket. Nothing on this page is financial advice.