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Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Texas Senate Election Winner

Current Odds▲ 0% 24h
36%YES
·
64%NO
Total Volume
$1.9M
24h Volume
$47k
Liquidity
$358k
7d Change
+0.0%
Market ends: November 4, 2026
Trade on Polymarket ↗

Market Overview

Traders are skeptical, pricing YES at just 36%. Total trading volume stands at $1.9M, backed by $358k in current liquidity. Whale activity is notable: 3 large trades recently, the biggest being $39k buying Yes. The market resolves on November 4, 2026.

Price History33% YES
0255075100Sep 23Oct 3Oct 13Oct 23
Yes No

🐳 Whale Activity large moves on this market

Whale alerts on TelegramEvery Polymarket trade above $150,000, pushed as we see it.→

Top Holders largest positions on this market

1 / 2

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Understanding the odds

Prediction market prices reflect the crowd’s estimated probability of an outcome. A YES price of 36% means traders collectively assign roughly that chance to the event happening. Whale alerts flag unusually large volume moves — a signal worth investigating, not a guarantee of insider knowledge.

Market data from Polymarket’s public API, last synced . PolyPeek is an independent analytics project, not affiliated with Polymarket. Nothing on this page is financial advice.