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Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Texas Senate Election Winner
Current Odds▲ 0% 24h
36%YES
·
64%NO
Total Volume
$1.9M
24h Volume
$47k
Liquidity
$358k
7d Change
+0.0%
Market ends: November 4, 2026
Trade on Polymarket ↗Market Overview
Traders are skeptical, pricing YES at just 36%. Total trading volume stands at $1.9M, backed by $358k in current liquidity. Whale activity is notable: 3 large trades recently, the biggest being $39k buying Yes. The market resolves on November 4, 2026.
Price History33% YES
Yes No
🐳 Whale Activity large moves on this market
↑
tmoneeeyYes
$39kto win $100k13d ago
↑
tetroseNo
$31kto win $50k19d ago
↑
foodenjoyerNo
$25kto win $40k10d ago
Top Holders largest positions on this market
1wan123No
$177.1kto win $274.6k
2whoareyounYes
$151.9kto win $427.8k
3tmoneeeyYes
$84.7kto win $238.5k
4botbotYes
$84.3kto win $237.4k
5defillama7No
$78.7kto win $122.0k
6foodenjoyerNo
$74.0kto win $114.8k
7touristsNo
$44.8kto win $69.4k
8neutralwave23Yes
$40.4kto win $113.8k
9Green-MasonryYes
$38.1kto win $107.4k
10pup1No
$35.5kto win $55.0k
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Understanding the odds
Prediction market prices reflect the crowd’s estimated probability of an outcome. A YES price of 36% means traders collectively assign roughly that chance to the event happening. Whale alerts flag unusually large volume moves — a signal worth investigating, not a guarantee of insider knowledge.
Market data from Polymarket’s public API, last synced . PolyPeek is an independent analytics project, not affiliated with Polymarket. Nothing on this page is financial advice.