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Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026?

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

Current Odds 0.9% 24h
24%YES
·
76%NO
Total Volume
$533k
24h Volume
$7
Liquidity
$7k
7d Change
-1.6%
Market ends: December 9, 2026
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Market Overview

The market sees this as unlikely — YES trades at only 24%. Total trading volume stands at $533k, backed by $7k in current liquidity. No large whale trades have been detected on this market recently. The market resolves on December 9, 2026.

Price History24% YES
0255075100Aug 7Aug 18Aug 28Sep 7
Yes No

🐳 Whale Activity large moves on this market

no whale trades detected yet
Whale alerts on TelegramEvery Polymarket trade above $150,000, pushed as we see it.

Top Holders largest positions on this market

1 / 2

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Understanding the odds

Prediction market prices reflect the crowd’s estimated probability of an outcome. A YES price of 24% means traders collectively assign roughly that chance to the event happening. Whale alerts flag unusually large volume moves — a signal worth investigating, not a guarantee of insider knowledge.

Market data from Polymarket’s public API, last synced . PolyPeek is an independent analytics project, not affiliated with Polymarket. Nothing on this page is financial advice.