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Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026?

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

Current Odds 0.3% 24h
30%YES
·
70%NO
Total Volume
$527k
24h Volume
$5
Liquidity
$13k
7d Change
-6.9%
Market ends: December 9, 2026
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Market Overview

Traders are skeptical, pricing YES at just 30%. Total trading volume stands at $527k, backed by $13k in current liquidity. No large whale trades have been detected on this market recently. Over the past week the price has fallen 6.9% and the market resolves on December 9, 2026.

Price History30% YES
0255075100Jun 15Jun 25Jul 5Jul 15
Yes No

🐳 Whale Activity large moves on this market

no whale trades detected yet

Top Holders largest positions on this market

$14.3k20.5k sh
$2.1k7.0k sh
$1.3k4.2k sh
$1.1k1.6k sh
5fed26Yes
$8362.8k sh
$6572.2k sh
$3931.3k sh
$231767 sh
$217311 sh
10BeefieYes
$150500 sh
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Understanding the odds

Prediction market prices reflect the crowd’s estimated probability of an outcome. A YES price of 30% means traders collectively assign roughly that chance to the event happening. Whale alerts flag unusually large volume moves — a signal worth investigating, not a guarantee of insider knowledge.

Data refreshes every 30 minutes from Polymarket’s public API. PolyPeek is an independent analytics project, not affiliated with Polymarket. Nothing on this page is financial advice.