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Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

Current Odds 0% 24h
4%YES
·
96%NO
Total Volume
$3.0M
24h Volume
$62k
Liquidity
$304k
7d Change
-0.3%
Market ends: September 30, 2026
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Market Overview

Traders treat this as a longshot, with YES priced at 4%. Total trading volume stands at $3.0M, backed by $304k in current liquidity. No large whale trades have been detected on this market recently. The market resolves on September 30, 2026.

Price History4% YES
0255075100Jun 15Jun 25Jul 5Jul 15
Yes No

🐳 Whale Activity large moves on this market

no whale trades detected yet

Top Holders largest positions on this market

$180.0k187.0k sh
$135.2k140.5k sh
$81.2k84.4k sh
$74.1k77.0k sh
$30.1k31.3k sh
$29.5k30.6k sh
$28.9k30.0k sh
$23.5k24.4k sh
$23.4k24.3k sh
$20.1k20.9k sh
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Understanding the odds

Prediction market prices reflect the crowd’s estimated probability of an outcome. A YES price of 4% means traders collectively assign roughly that chance to the event happening. Whale alerts flag unusually large volume moves — a signal worth investigating, not a guarantee of insider knowledge.

Data refreshes every 30 minutes from Polymarket’s public API. PolyPeek is an independent analytics project, not affiliated with Polymarket. Nothing on this page is financial advice.