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Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?

Current Odds 1.5% 24h
14%YES
·
86%NO
Total Volume
$3.1M
24h Volume
$13k
Liquidity
$108k
7d Change
+0.5%
Market ends: December 31, 2026
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Market Overview

The market sees this as unlikely — YES trades at only 14%, up 1.5% over the last 24 hours. Total trading volume stands at $3.1M, backed by $108k in current liquidity. No large whale trades have been detected on this market recently. The market resolves on December 31, 2026.

Price History14% YES
0255075100Jun 15Jun 25Jul 5Jul 15
Yes No

🐳 Whale Activity large moves on this market

no whale trades detected yet

Top Holders largest positions on this market

$23.8k27.7k sh
$23.4k27.2k sh
$22.4k26.0k sh
$15.0k17.4k sh
$14.9k17.3k sh
$14.8k17.2k sh
$13.1k15.3k sh
$12.9k15.0k sh
$10.3k12.0k sh
$10.0k11.6k sh
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Understanding the odds

Prediction market prices reflect the crowd’s estimated probability of an outcome. A YES price of 14% means traders collectively assign roughly that chance to the event happening. Whale alerts flag unusually large volume moves — a signal worth investigating, not a guarantee of insider knowledge.

Data refreshes every 30 minutes from Polymarket’s public API. PolyPeek is an independent analytics project, not affiliated with Polymarket. Nothing on this page is financial advice.