Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Market Overview
The market sees this as unlikely — YES trades at only 17%, down 1.0% over the last 24 hours. With $73.9M in total trading volume, this is one of the largest markets on Polymarket, backed by $688k in current liquidity. Whale activity is notable: 30 large trades recently, the biggest being $365k selling No. The market resolves on January 1, 2027.
🐳 Whale Activity large moves on this market
Top Holders largest positions on this market
Understanding the odds
Prediction market prices reflect the crowd’s estimated probability of an outcome. A YES price of 17% means traders collectively assign roughly that chance to the event happening. Whale alerts flag unusually large volume moves — a signal worth investigating, not a guarantee of insider knowledge.
Market data from Polymarket’s public API, last synced . PolyPeek is an independent analytics project, not affiliated with Polymarket. Nothing on this page is financial advice.