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Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

Current Odds 1% 24h
5%YES
·
95%NO
Total Volume
$659k
24h Volume
$14k
Liquidity
$98k
7d Change
-1.0%
Market ends: December 31, 2026
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Market Overview

Traders treat this as a longshot, with YES priced at 5%, down 1.0% over the last 24 hours. Total trading volume stands at $659k, backed by $98k in current liquidity. No large whale trades have been detected on this market recently. The market resolves on December 31, 2026.

Price History5% YES
0255075100Jun 15Jun 25Jul 5Jul 15
Yes No

🐳 Whale Activity large moves on this market

no whale trades detected yet

Top Holders largest positions on this market

$43.0k45.0k sh
$37.3k39.1k sh
$15.2k15.9k sh
$9.5k10.0k sh
$8.1k8.5k sh
6CarNo
$4.9k5.1k sh
$4.8k5.0k sh
$3.3k3.5k sh
$2.9k3.0k sh
10nashenNo
$2.9k3.0k sh
1 / 2

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Understanding the odds

Prediction market prices reflect the crowd’s estimated probability of an outcome. A YES price of 5% means traders collectively assign roughly that chance to the event happening. Whale alerts flag unusually large volume moves — a signal worth investigating, not a guarantee of insider knowledge.

Data refreshes every 30 minutes from Polymarket’s public API. PolyPeek is an independent analytics project, not affiliated with Polymarket. Nothing on this page is financial advice.