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Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?

Current Odds 0.1% 24h
7%YES
·
93%NO
Total Volume
$6.5M
24h Volume
$71
Liquidity
$6k
7d Change
+0.2%
Market ends: December 31, 2026
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Market Overview

Traders treat this as a longshot, with YES priced at 7%. The market has attracted substantial interest with $6.5M in total volume, backed by $6k in current liquidity. No large whale trades have been detected on this market recently. The market resolves on December 31, 2026.

Price History7% YES
0255075100Jun 15Jun 25Jul 5Jul 15
Yes No

🐳 Whale Activity large moves on this market

no whale trades detected yet

Top Holders largest positions on this market

$5.1k5.5k sh
2St3fNo
$800859 sh
$789847 sh
$583626 sh
$466500 sh
$345371 sh
$283304 sh
$258277 sh
10fElonNo
$231248 sh
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Understanding the odds

Prediction market prices reflect the crowd’s estimated probability of an outcome. A YES price of 7% means traders collectively assign roughly that chance to the event happening. Whale alerts flag unusually large volume moves — a signal worth investigating, not a guarantee of insider knowledge.

Data refreshes every 30 minutes from Polymarket’s public API. PolyPeek is an independent analytics project, not affiliated with Polymarket. Nothing on this page is financial advice.