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Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?

Current Odds 7% 24h
61%YES
·
39%NO
Total Volume
$241k
24h Volume
$977
Liquidity
$3k
7d Change
+11.0%
Market ends: January 1, 2027
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Market Overview

Traders lean towards YES at 61%, a sharp jump of 7.0% in the last 24 hours. This is a smaller market with $241k in total volume, backed by $3k in current liquidity. No large whale trades have been detected on this market recently. Over the past week the price has climbed 11.0% and the market resolves on January 1, 2027.

Price History61% YES
0255075100Aug 7Aug 18Aug 28Sep 7
Yes No

🐳 Whale Activity large moves on this market

no whale trades detected yet
Whale alerts on TelegramEvery Polymarket trade above $150,000, pushed as we see it.

Top Holders largest positions on this market

1 / 2

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Understanding the odds

Prediction market prices reflect the crowd’s estimated probability of an outcome. A YES price of 61% means traders collectively assign roughly that chance to the event happening. Whale alerts flag unusually large volume moves — a signal worth investigating, not a guarantee of insider knowledge.

Market data from Polymarket’s public API, last synced . PolyPeek is an independent analytics project, not affiliated with Polymarket. Nothing on this page is financial advice.